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Elon Musk's tweet count: the weekly record

Every week Polymarket settles a market on how many times Elon Musk posts. We archive the official results so you can see the real distribution before you guess the next week.

Data updated November 9, 2026 · Source: resolved Polymarket bracket markets. A new data point lands after each weekly settlement.

Weeks tracked

144

Average week

~254 posts

Last 12 weeks

~186 posts

Busiest week

~900 (May 24, 2026)

Estimated posts per week

Each bar is the midpoint of the winning bracket for that week's market. Ranges, not exact counts.

Which months does Elon post the most?

Average estimated weekly posts by calendar month, across all tracked years. Two-plus years of data is a small sample—seasonality here is a hint, not a law.

What if you backed the same bracket every week?

We bucket every settled week into wide ranges. Hit rate = share of weeks landing in that range. The break-even price is the hit rate itself: buy below it often enough and the strategy is profitable.

Assumed avg. entry price0.20
BracketWeeks wonHit rateBreak-even priceROI at your price
<20068/14447.2%0.47+136%
200–24912/1448.3%0.08-58%
250–29917/14411.8%0.12-41%
300–34910/1446.9%0.07-65%
350–3999/1446.3%0.06-69%
400+28/14419.4%0.19-3%

Green = positive ROI at your assumed price. Backtested on settled market outcomes. Historical hit rates do not guarantee future ones.

This week on Polymarket

Implied probabilities for the currently trading bracket market.

Elon Musk # tweets November 3 - November 10, 2026?

<20 or fewer
0%
20–39
0%
40–59
0%
60–79
0%
80–99
0%
100–119
0%
120–139
0%
140–159
0%

Elon Musk # tweets November 6 - November 13, 2026?

<20 or fewer
0%
20–39
0%
40–59
0%
60–79
0%
80–99
0%
100–119
0%
120–139
0%
140–159
0%

Weekly history

WeekWinning bracketEst. posts
November 5, 2026 → November 9, 202690–114~102
November 2, 2026 → November 7, 202690–114~102
October 31, 2026 → November 4, 202665–89~77
October 29, 2026 → November 2, 202690–114~102
October 27, 2026 → November 6, 2026300–319~310
October 26, 2026 → October 31, 2026140–164~152
October 24, 2026 → November 3, 2026380–399~390
October 24, 2026 → October 28, 202690–114~102
October 22, 2026 → October 26, 202665–89~77
October 20, 2026 → October 30, 2026380–399~390
October 19, 2026 → October 24, 202690–114~102
October 17, 2026 → October 27, 2026320–339~330
October 17, 2026 → October 21, 202665–89~77
October 15, 2026 → October 19, 202640–64~52
October 13, 2026 → October 23, 2026260–279~270
October 12, 2026 → October 17, 202690–114~102
October 10, 2026 → October 20, 2026320–339~330
October 10, 2026 → October 14, 202690–114~102
October 8, 2026 → October 12, 202640–64~52
October 6, 2026 → October 16, 2026340–359~350

Where this data comes from

Polymarket runs a weekly bracket market on @elonmusk's post count. When the week settles, exactly one bracket resolves to YES—that bracket is the official count range. We collect those results over time. The dataset is free, public, and updated after each settlement.

For research and education only. Not investment advice.